The landmark Bruen decision inaugurated a lot of chaos in the field of Second Amendment jurisprudence, but perhaps no follow-up case caught the public's eye quite like the 5th Circuit's ruling striking down prohibitions on persons under domestic violence restraining orders from possessing guns. I characterized that ruling (United States v. Rahimi) as "(a) insane and (b) absolutely defensible under the Supreme Court's Bruen decision," but I also flagged it as a potential candidate for Supreme Court reversal. The Supreme Court did grant cert in Rahimi, and the consensus amongst legal observers following oral argument is that the Fifth Circuit's opinion is toast.
One last ditch argument we're seeing by pro-gun zealots to try and avert this outcome is to frame Rahimi as a defendant's rights issue. Fifth Circuit Judge James Ho, in an opinion Chris Geidner characterized as a "judicial version of a post-argument supplemental filing," appealed to this principle -- citing a bevy of criminal law due process cases which protected the rights of even violent offenders and concluding that "if government must turn 'square corners' when it comes to the removal of illegal aliens, surely it must do the same when it comes to the basic rights of our own citizens." Josh Blackman made a similar argument, contending that it will be difficult to write an opinion in Rahimi that upholds the law in question that doesn't similarly pare back other rights of those accused of violent crimes.
Let's start by making one thing clear. Blackman states that "the reason why the Court may 'clarify' Bruen [in Rahimi] is because certain members of the Court don't like the results that it yields." I agree. As I wrote shortly after the Fifth Circuit's decision came down:
[I]f the Supreme Court reverses [Rahimi] -- and they might -- their reasoning will almost certainly purport to be based on some alternate assessment and reading of the historical sources. But this will be a naked smokescreen, and everyone will know it. If the Court reverses the Fifth Circuit here, it will be entirely and solely because the Court finds it too unreasonable and intolerable to permit domestic abusers free reign to carry arms -- a contemporary policy judgment anyway you look at it, no matter how much effort is or isn't expended to cloak it in some faux-historical garb. None of these judges abide by the rules they purport to lay out.
But while I agree that the results-tail will be wagging the doctrinal-dog, the "defendant's rights" argument is not a bulwark against the sort of reasoning. Rather, it is itself a form of results-oriented reasoning that Bruen -- if applied "faithfully" (and again, quotation marks because nobody is even trying to apply it "faithfully") -- expressly disclaims the legitimacy of. Put differently, to the extent Rahimi tries to present itself as faithful to Bruen, the "defendant's rights" argument is incredibly easy to dispense with. Blackman and Ho's position, by contrast, only works if one assumes Bruen does not mean what it says -- or, as I've put it, that Bruen is a one-way ratchet where social policy arguments in fact are permissible ... but only if they stand in support of a pro-gun position.
Let's review what the Bruen rule is. It's quite straightforward: where the "plain" language of the Second Amendment covers given conduct, government regulation of said conduct will only be upheld if it is consistent with the framing-era history of gun regulation. That's the alpha and the omega. No weighing of social policy consequences is permitted, period.
This approach generally has been conceptualized as a means of striking down even laws about guns that seem eminently sensible -- if they lack the relevant historical analogue, they're unconstitutional no matter how salutary they might seem. But in concept, what's good for the goose is good for the gander: a law about guns that seems arbitrary and unfair, but which does have relevant historical analogues, must be upheld no matter how ridiculous it might seem.
Suppose it turned out that there were in many states at the founding era laws that permitted anyone with a last name starting with "M" to be disarmed at the discretion of the state governor. For purposes of this hypothetical it doesn't matter why these laws were passed, and we can all agree that would be a tremendously silly and unfair law. Nonetheless, if a state today passed an identical law, under Bruen it should be upheld: the only question we're allowed to consider is "is there a historical analogue," and by stipulation there is one here. Engaging in the abstract moral theorizing about whether this law is "fair" -- no matter how obvious the answer might seem in this case -- is exactly what Bruen says courts are not allowed to do.
Similarly, suppose we had in Rahimi something that Justice Thomas in Bruen expressly denied was necessary: a "clone" law -- at the founding, there were regularly laws exactly like the federal law at issue in Rahimi throughout the states. In such a circumstance, even Ho and Blackman would have to concede (I think?) that Bruen would compel the federal law in Rahimi to be upheld, and that the "defendant's rights" argument would not enter into it. The law has a historical analogue, and so the discussion ends. That's what Bruen demands.
Of course, there was not a "clone" law at the framing to the federal prohibition on gun possession by persons under domestic violence restraining orders. So the nominal question in Rahimi is whether the laws that did exist are sufficiently analogically comparable to the federal law at issue so as to validate the latter. But that analysis, too, is completely unconcerned with any alleged unfairness to prospective criminal defendants. Either the historical analogues are sufficiently comparable, or they're not. If they are, then it doesn't matter that the results might seem unfair to potential criminal defendants any more than it matters if the results (pointing the other way) might seem unfair to domestic violence victims, or for that matter if the results seem unfair to persons whose last names start with "M". In all cases, Bruen demands we be studiously indifferent to this unfairness.
Bruen, in short, does not care about due process rights. Or put slightly differently, Bruen says that the only process anyone disarmed by the government is "due" is a determination about whether the disarmament is sufficiently analogous to practices that existed at the founding. If it is, then you can be disarmed. If it isn't, then you can't. No other consideration of "fairness" comes into play.
It is in fact a misapprehension to say that the reason Rahimi could be disarmed consistent with Bruen is because "we're willing to reduce constitutional protections for prospective criminal defendants." If Rahimi can be disarmed, it isn't because he's a prospective criminal defendant, it's because he falls into a category of persons sufficiently analogous to persons who were deemed to be disarmable at the time of the framing. For this reason, a reversal in Rahimi poses no threat to other criminal defendant rights precedents, because in no other domain are constitutional rights treated in this absurdly reductive fashion (here we really see the lie that Bruen was about treating the Second Amendment "the same as" other constitutional rights; no other constitutional domain has a doctrine that's anything close to what Bruen proposes).
In short, all an opinion reversing the Fifth Circuit in Rahimi has to do to "contain" its ruling is state its conclusions in the terms Bruen prescribes: that the historical analogues to the challenged federal law are sufficiently comparable so as to render the latter constitutional. Once it does that, it need not and under Bruen should and cannot say a word about whether this outcome is "fair" or not to people who could prospectively be charged with a crime.
To be clear one more time: even if this is the approach the Supreme Court takes in reversing the Fifth Circuit, it will be a lie. We'll all know that the actual reason behind the Court's decision will be policy squeamishness towards the outcome. But we also know -- already knew, but Ho and Blackman helpfully confirmed it -- that a contrary ruling (or a dissent) will also be driven in part by social policy considerations and abstract arguments about fairness. Even Bruen's putative defenders don't actually take its strictures seriously, which is one more reason why the decision deserves nothing but scorn.
I had the impression that the analogue test was kind of vague and sketchy (because it isn't good faith but is rather a magic 'now we GIGO for the results we want' prompt, hence the general difficulty/confusion with applying it). But I would expect that the test would actually have to be articulated pretty clearly/rigorously to straightforwardly preclude analysis along the line 'the alleged historical analogues applied XXX standard of due process in determining individuals were subject to disarmament (eg, criminal conviction / beyond reasonable doubt, criminal indictment / probable cause, reasonable suspicion), so disarmament at a lower standard of due process is not historically supported'.
ReplyDeleteAm I off-base in thinking that this door is open textually, and separately is this a rhetorical move that seems liable to come up if the reactionary side of the case engages with these due process arguments?
Sorry, I'm not fully tracking this.
ReplyDelete