Thursday, April 21, 2011

The Wisconsin Eight-Ball

As the Wisconsin recall filing deadline approaches, it looks as if the final score will be five Republican and three Democratic state senators being placed back on the ballot.

Some of these candidates are more vulnerable than others, and my early call is that Dems score a net pickup of two seats (putting them one short of a majority). I think all the Dems will hold on to their seats, and Democrats will pick up Kapanke's seat and then one more amongst the pack. But obviously, I hope I'm wrong and they're able to get over the hump.

2 comments:

Volunteer Coordinator said...

Hopper's seat is pretty much in the bag too, I think--he scraped to re-election last time, and that was before the story about him living outside the district with his mistress came to light. I imagine Sen. Hopper is having a fun time trying to spin the recent stories about his wife signing the recall petition...

David Schraub said...

I hope you're right, but the polling and data I've seen in Hopper's district makes me loathe to see he's a sure pick-up.